スイスの貿易収支の拡大が予想される中、豪ドル/スイスフランは大きな弱気のピンバーを形成

アシフ・イムティアズ
2019年12月16日
319 ビュー

広告の開示

オーストラリア - CB先行指数

On Tuesday, at GMT 3:30 p.m., the Conference Board Inc will release the month-over-month leading index for Australia. It measures the changes in the level of a composite index based seven other major fundamental indicators.

The CB leading index aggregates some of the other indicator data. So, binary options traders consider this to be an important representation of the overall Australian economy. However, most of these data are already public. So, the CB leading index tends to have a minimized immediate market impact.

Last month, the CB leading index came out at 0.2%. If the positive trend continues, it will have a bullish effect on the Australian Dollar.

スイス – 貿易収支

On Thursday, at GMT 7:00 a.m., the Swiss Federal Statistical Office will release the monthly trade balance figure. It measures the difference in value between net import and export of goods over the past month.

The demand for export is directly correlated with the demand for the Swiss Franc. So, binary options investors analyze the monthly trade balance in order to gauge the strength of the CHF against other major currencies.

Last month, the Swiss trade balance figure came out at 3.5 billion. The forecast for this month is currently set at 3.55 billion.

AUD/CHF Forecast

The AUD/CHF broke above the downtrend line back in September 9, 2019. Since then, it remained range bound. Over the last few months, it traded between 0.6660 and 0.6840 levels. Last week, the AUD/CHF once again got rejected near the 0.6840. Consequently, it formed a large bearish pin bar. Currently, it is trading just above the minor pivot zone near the 0.6750.

The Australian CB Leading Index went up by 0.2% last month. But the positive growth remained tentative over the last few months. On the other hand, the Swiss trade balance growth remained stable and it will likely increase again. We believe it would set a bearish fundamental outlook for the AUD/CHF this week. Therefore, if the AUD/CHF closes below the support near 0.6750, it would likely attract additional bearish momentum in the market.

Hence, Australian binary options traders should look out for trading opportunities below this major support level around 0.6750.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。

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