米国の失業保険申請件数の減少が予想される中、ユーロ/米ドルは1.1900付近の抵抗線を突破できなかった

アシフ・イムティアズ

通貨, ユーロ/米ドル

2020年11月10日

366 ビュー

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook: 10th November 2020

ユーロ圏 - ドイツ ZEW の経済センチメント

火曜日、グリニッジ標準時午前10時に、ツェントルム毛皮欧州協会（ZEW）はドイツの景況感指数を発表した。これは、ドイツの機関投資家および市場アナリスト 275 名に対する調査に基づいて、普及指数のレベルを測定します。

Since the professional investment community, forex brokers in the UK, investors and analysts have the latest data; their reflection about the economy tends to be the most accurate. Therefore, Forex traders consider the ZEW’s German economic sentiment index to be a leading indicator of the entire Eurozone economy. This is because the German economy is one of the most important driving forces behind the Euro currency.

Last month, the ZEW German economic sentiment came out at 52.3. This month, analysts were expecting it to come out at 43.3. However, the actual figure came out much worse, at 32.8.

United States – Unemployment Claims

On Thursday, at GMT 1:30 p.m., the US Department of Labor will release the unemployment claims figure, which measures the changes in the number of people who claimed for unemployment insurance over the last week.

Most popular CFD brokers consider the unemployment claims data to be one of the most important fundamental indicators of the US job market. This is primarily because unemployment and consumer spending have a direct correlation and an increasing number of unemployment claims indicate lower consumer spending in the economy, which makes up the bulk of the economic activity in the United States.

Last week, the US unemployment claims figure came out at 751,000. This week, analysts are expecting it to come down to 730,000.

ユーロ/米ドルの予測

On September 16, 2020, the EUR/USD broke below the uptrend line on the daily timeframe. Since then, it has fallen by around 300 pips. Last week, it fell to 1.1600 and found strong support. Subsequently, it started a bullish retracement and went up to test the 1.1900 level. Yesterday, the EUR/USD failed to close above the resistance near 1.1900 and formed a bearish outside bar (BEOB). Earlier today, it broke below the low of the BEOB. Currently, it is trading near yesterday’s low.

The German ZEW Economic Sentiment came down from 52.3 to 32.8. On the other hand, analysts are expecting the US unemployment rate to come down from 751,000 to 730,000. We believe it would set a bearish fundamental outlook for the EUR/USD this week. Therefore, if the EUR/USD continue to trade below the resistance near 1.1900, it would likely attract additional bearish momentum in the market.

Hence, traders should look out for trading opportunities at the EUR/USD market price.

アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。