アナリストが米国の小売売上高の減少を予測する中、ユーロ/米ドルは強気に転じる

アシフ・イムティアズ
2021年8月17日
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米国 – 小売売上高

火曜日、グリニッジ標準時午後 12 時 30 分に、米国勢調査局は全国の前月比小売売上高を発表します。過去 1 か月間、国内の小売レベルで行われたすべての売上高の合計額の変化を測定します。

Retail sales data are considered by Forex traders to be the primary gauge of consumer spending and confidence. This is because when consumers are confident about their future financial situation, they tend to spend more.

Last month, the US retail sales value increased by 0.6%. Analysts are expecting that this month, it would likely decrease by -0.2%.

Eurozone – Producer Price Index

On Friday, at GMT 6:00 a.m., the Destatis will release the German Producer Price Index (PPI). It measures the changes in the price of sold goods by the German manufacturers in the previous month.

Manufacturers increase their prices when the cost of production goes up. Hence, CFD traders consider the German PPI to be a leading indicator of the overall German consumer inflation. Also, its consumer inflation situation can have a substantial impact on the valuation of the Euro.

Last month, the German PPI went up by 1.3%. This month, analysts are expecting it to grow at a much slower pace, at 0.8%.

EUR/USD Forecast

Since the end of May 2021, the EUR/USD fell by around 560 pips. Last week, it briefly came close to the 1.1700 level but then started a bullish retracement. Last Friday, it managed to close above the major resistance near the 1.1770 level. This week, so far, the EUR/USD has remained range bound and tested the 1.1770 level several times. Currently, it is trading just above this resistance.

The US retail sales will likely go down by -0.2% over the last month. On the other hand, the German PPI will likely slow down but still have a positive growth of 0.8%. We believe it would set a 強気な 今週のユーロ/米ドルのファンダメンタルズ見通し。したがって、EUR/USDが終了した場合、 その上 抵抗 near 1.1770, it would likely attract additional 強気な 市場の勢い。

したがって、CFDトレーダーは取引機会に注意する必要があります その上 この専攻 抵抗 level around 1.1770.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。