新型コロナウイルス感染症による世界市場の混乱の中で、GBP/AUDは不安定な状態が続く可能性が高い

アシフ・イムティアズ
2020年3月16日
242 ビュー

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GBP/AUD Forecast & Technical Analysis

英国 – 失業率

On Tuesday, at GMT 9:30 a.m., the UK’s Office for National Statistics will release the national unemployment rate. It measures the percentage of total workforce which remained unemployed over the past month.

外国為替 ブローカー consider the unemployment rate to be one of the most important fundamental indicators of the UK’s economy. It is because one of the main goals of the Bank of England is to keep unemployment as low as possible. This is a lagging indicator. But, analyzing this data can help Forex traders predict future interest rates. Also, it can help forecast the inflation situation in the country.

Last month, the unemployment rate in the United Kingdom came out at 3.8%. This month, analysts are expecting it to remain unchanged at 3.8%.

オーストラリア – 失業率

On Thursday, at GMT 12:30 a.m., the Australian Bureau of Statistics will release the national unemployment rate. It measures the percentage of total workforce which remained unemployed over the past month.

Forex investors consider the unemployment rate to be one of the most important fundamental indicators of the Australian economy. It is because one of the main goals of the Reserve Bank of Australia is to keep unemployment as low as possible. This is a lagging indicator. But, analyzing this data can help Forex traders predict future interest rates. Also, it can help forecast the inflation situation in the country.

Last month, the unemployment rate in Australia came out at 5.3%. This month, analysts are expecting it to remain unchanged at 5.3%.

GBP/AUD Forecast

GBP/AUD Forecast- March 2020

The GBP/AUD remained bullish since the end of July 2019. Last week, it broke above the resistance level around 1.9750. Last week, volatility went up due to the Coronavirus induced market crash in the US. However, it appears to be stabilizing for now. Meanwhile, the GBP/AUD seems to be forming a strong resistance near the 2.0180 level.

The Australian unemployment rate will likely stay stable at 5.3%. On the other hand, analysts are expecting the UK’s unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 3.8% as well. Hence, the technical factors will likely determine the momentum in the market this week. Given the underlying bias, if the GBP/AUD closes above the resistance near 2.0180, it would likely attract additional bullish momentum in the market.

Hence, forex traders should look out for trading opportunities above this major resistance level around 2.0180.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。

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