英国で公共部門の借入が増加する中、ポンド/豪ドルの強気圧力は弱まる可能性がある

アシフ・イムティアズ
2020年12月23日
266 ビュー

広告の開示

United Kingdom – Public Sector Net Borrowing

On Tuesday, at GMT 7:00 a.m., the UK’s Office for National Statistics released the public sector borrowing figure. It measures the difference in the value of the spending and income of the public corporations as well as the central government of the UK and other local governments during the last month.

A positive public sector borrowing figure would indicate a budget deficit and a negative figure would indicate a budget surplus. Hence, a negative figure is usually taken as good news for the British Pound.

Last month, the UK public sector borrowing figure came out at 20.0 billion. The forecast for this month was that it would come out at 26.3 billion. However, the actual figure came out much worse, at 30.8 billion.

Australia – Private Sector Credit

On Wednesday, at GMT 12:30 a.m., the Reserve Bank of Australia released the month-over-month Private Sector Credit data. It measures the changes in the total value of new credit issued to consumers and corporations in the country over the previous month.

Forex traders consider the private sector credit to be an important fundamental indicator of the Australian economy. Because borrowing and spending have a high correlation. Consumers and businesses only take out credit when they feel confident about their ability to pay it back in the future. Hence, it also acts as a measure of consumer and business confidence.

Last month, the private sector credit in Australia did not change and remained at 0.0%. The forecast for this month was set at an increase of 0.1%. The actual figure matched the expectation and came out at 0.1%.

GBP/AUD Forecast

The GBP/AUD remained in a strong downtrend since October 22, 2020. Over the last two months, it has gone down by around 1,100 pips. On December 11, it fell to the 1.7425 level and found strong support. Over the last two weeks, the GBP/AUD started a bullish move and found resistance near 1.7880. Currently, it is trading just below the resistance near the 1.7880 level.

The Australian Private Sector Credit increased as expected, by a thin margin of 0.1%. On the other hand, the UK’s Public Sector Net Borrowing went up much higher than expected to 30.8 billion. We believe it would set a 弱気な fundamental outlook for the GBP/AUD this week. Therefore, if the GBP/AUD remains below the 抵抗 near 1.7880, it would likely attract additional 弱気な 市場の勢い。

したがって、CFDトレーダーは取引機会に注意する必要があります 下に この専攻 抵抗 level around 1.7880.

 

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。