英国の失業保険申請件数が大幅に減少する中、ポンド/米ドルは主要な抵抗線に注目
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook: 14th October 2020
United Kingdom – Claimant Count Change
On Tuesday, at GMT 7:00 a.m., the UK’s Office for National Statistics released the Claimant Count Change figure. It measures the changes in the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits during the previous month.
It is the first fundamental indicator of the month that confirms the employment situation in the UK. so, forex brokers in the United Kingdom consider this to be an important indicator of consumer spending in the coming months. This is because consumer spending is highly dependent on labour market situation in the country.
Last month, the UK’s Claimant Count Change figure came out at 39,500. The forecast for this month was set at 78,800. The actual figure came out much lower, at 28,100.
米国 – 小売売上高
On Friday, at GMT 1:30 p.m., the US Census Bureau will release the national month-over-month retail sales figure. It measures the changes in the total value of all sales made at the retail level in the country over the past month.
Retail sales data are considered by Forex investors to be the primary gauge of consumer spending and confidence. Because when consumers are confident about their future financial situation, they tend to spend more.
In September, the US retail sales value increased by 0.6%. Analysts are expecting it to grow by 0.7% over the last month.
ポンド/米ドルの予測
The GBP/USD stayed bullish since March 2020 and formed a well-respected uptrend line. But on September 10, it broke below the uptrend line. However, the support near 1.2665 level kept GBP/USD from falling. On September 28, it broke above the downtrend line but soon found resistance near the 1.3015 level. Currently, it is trading just below the resistance around 1.3015.
The US retail sales will likely grow at a steady rate over the last month. On the other hand, the UK’s Claimant Count Change figure came out way better than the consensus estimates. We believe it would set a 強気な 今週のGBP/USDのファンダメンタルズ見通し。したがって、GBP/USDが終了した場合、 その上
の 抵抗 近く 1.3015, it would likely attract additional 強気な 市場の勢い。
Hence, online forex investors should look out for trading opportunities その上 この専攻 抵抗 level around 1.3015.
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