堅調な米国住宅市場データを前に、GBP/USD が主要なサポートをテスト

アシフ・イムティアズ
2021年7月19日
371 ビュー

広告の開示

GBP/USD Forecast – 20th July 2021

United States – Building Permits

On Tuesday, at GMT 12:30 p.m., the U.S. Census Bureau will publish the monthly Building Permits figure. It measures the changes in the total number of new permits issued for constructing new premises in the country.

Building permits are mandatory to start building construction. So, the number of new permits acts as a leading indicator of future construction activity in the country. Also, Forex traders in the United Kingdom consider that new constructions help energize the economy, as new buildings require materials from many other industries.

Last month, the number of new Building Permits came out at 1.68 million. Analysts were expecting it to come out at 1.69 million this month.

United Kingdom – Retail Sales

On Thursday, at GMT 11:00 a.m., the UK’s Office for National Statistics will release the month-over-month retail sales figure. It measures the change in the total value of sales made by the retail sector in the country over the past month. However, this is adjusted for inflation in order to offer an accurate overview.

CFD traders consider the UK’s retail sales figure to be one of the main gauges of consumer confidence. Because it makes up the majority of the overall economic activity in the country. Also, consumer spending is directly correlated with consumer confidence. So, it can signal future economic activity as well.

Last month, the value of the UK’s retail sales increased by -1.4%. Analysts are expecting it remains unchanged at 0.0%

ポンド/米ドルの予測

GbP/USD daily chart - 19th July 2021

Since March 2020, the GBP/USD remained a sustained uptrend. Over the last year, it has climbed up by around 2800 pips. After reaching the 1.4240 level on February 24, the GBP/USD started a bearish retracement. A month later, on March 24, it broke below the uptrend line and signaled a change in trend. Over the last few months, the GBP/USD mostly remained range-bound. During this time, it traded between the support around 1.3725 and the resistance near the 1.4240 level. Earlier today, it penetrated below the support near the 1.3725 level.

The UK’s retail sales will likely remain unchanged at 0.0%, which will have a neutral impact on the currency. By contrast, the US building permits figure will likely increase to an annualized 1.69 million. We believe it would set a 弱気な 今週のGBP/USDのファンダメンタルズ見通し。したがって、GBP/USDが終了した場合、 下にサポート near 1.3725, it would likely attract additional 弱気な 市場の勢い。

Hence, CFD traders should look out for trading opportunities below this major support level of around 1.3725.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。