スイスKOF経済バロメーターが大幅に下落した場合、GBP/CHFは1.1900付近の抵抗を突破する可能性が高い

アシフ・イムティアズ
2020年9月28日
320 ビュー

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GBP/CHF Forecast & Technical Analysis

スイス – KOF 経済バロメーター

On Wednesday, at GMT 7:00 a.m., the KOF Economic Research Agency will release its economic barometer index. It measures the changes in the level of a composite index.

The KOF develops this composite index by analyzing 219 different economic indicators. Hence, UK forex brokers consider this to be an important fundamental indicator regarding the Swiss economy.

Last month, the KOF economic barometer index reading came out at 110.2. Analysts are expecting it to come out at a much lower reading, at 105.6.

United Kingdom – Final Manufacturing PMI

On Thursday, at GMT 8:30 a.m., the Markit will release the United Kingdom’s final manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) figure. It measures the level of a diffusion index by surveying around 600 purchasing managers in the country. 

The PMI is calculated based on survey questions covering employment, production, and price levels. It also takes new order situations as well as inventory conditions under consideration. Businesses are the first to react to changing economic climate. Hence, ATFX broker considers this data to be a leading indicator of the overall economic health of the country.

Last month, the UK’s final manufacturing PMI came out at 54.3. The forecast for this month is set at 54.3 as well.

GBP/CHF Forecast

GBP/CHF Analysis - 29th September 2020

Earlier in September, the GBP/CHF broke below the intermediate uptrend line. Furthermore, it fell below the support near 1.1900. However, after reaching the support near 1.6500, the GBP/CHF started a bullish retracement. Earlier today, it reached the pivot zone near 1.1900. Currently, it is testing this major resistance level.

UK’s Final Manufacturing PMI will likely stay the same as last month. On the other hand, analysts are expecting the Swiss  KOF Economic Barometer to come down from 110.2 to 105.6. We believe it would set a 強気な fundamental outlook for the GBP/CHF this week. Therefore, if the GBP/CHF closes その上 抵抗 near 1.1900, it would likely attract additional 強気な 市場の勢い。

Hence, Forex traders should look out for trading opportunities above this major resistance level around 1.1900.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 contact@asifimtiaz.com までご連絡ください。