USD/CAD Resumes Downtrend as Canadian Housing Market Likely to Rebound Soon

2021 年 8 月 4 日
427 ビュー


Canada – Building Permits

On Wednesday, at GMT 12:30 p.m., Statistics Canada published the monthly Building Permits figure. It measures the changes in the total number of new permits issued for constructing new premises in the country.

Building permits are mandatory to start building construction. So, the number of new permits acts as a leading indicator of the future construction activity in the country. Also, CFD traders consider that new constructions help energize the economy, as new buildings require materials from many other industries.

Last month, the amount of new Building Permits declined by as much as -12.9%. Analysts were expecting it to grow at 6.0% this month. However, the actual figure came out way better and grew by 6.9%.

米国 - 失業率

On Friday, at GMT 12:30 p.m., the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the national unemployment rate. It measures the percentage of the total work force which remained unemployed over the past month.

Forex investors consider the unemployment rate to be one of the most important fundamental indicators of the American economy. It is because one of the main goals of the Federal Reserve is to keep unemployment as low as possible. Although this is a lagging indicator, analyzing this data can help Forex traders predict future interest rates and inflation situations in the country.

Last month, the unemployment rate in the United States came out at 5.9%. This month, analysts are expecting it to come down to 5.7%.


The Canadian Dollar has been appreciating against the US Dollar over the last several months and remained below below the 200-day moving average. But in July 2021, it started a bullish retracement and penetrated above the 200-day moving average briefly. Since July 21, 2021, it resumed the downtrend and the price fell by around 380 pips. On July 30, the 10-period moving average crossed below the 20-period moving average, confirming the bearish trend.  Currently, it is trading just above the support near the 1.2475 level.

The US unemployment rate will likely improve to 5.7%. However, the Canadian building permits went up from –12.9% to 6.9%, indicating a strong rebounding in the housing sector. We believe it would set a 弱気な 今週のUSD/CADのファンダメンタルズ見通し。したがって、USD/CAD が終了した場合、 下にサポート near the 1.2475 level, it would likely attract additional 弱気な 市場の勢い。

Hence, US CFD traders should look out for trading opportunities 下に この専攻 サポート level around 1.2475.

著者 アシフ・イムティアズ

マーケットアナリスト/トレーディングコンサルタント。アシフはプロップトレーダーとして約 10 年間働き、その後、ヨーロッパ最大の外国為替戦略開発会社の 1 つでトレーディング業務を管理しました。現在、彼は複数のブローカーの取引コンサルタントとして働いており、さまざまなテクノロジーや金融のトピックについて執筆しています。 までご連絡ください。