GBPUSD Outlook – 15th February 2021
GBPUSD started the week’s trading, achieving gains in the morning of UK forex market transactions, and it recorded the second consecutive daily rise and its highest level since 2018. These broad gains come thanks to the large decline in the US dollar, in addition to increasing hopes of reducing operations procedures. The closure, which is the third since the beginning of the Coronavirus pandemic.
GBPUSD traded at $ 1.3913, the highest in three years, up by 0.45% from today’s opening session at $ 1.3851.
The British pound recorded the fifth consecutive weekly gain after the close of trading on Friday, hitting a 0.9% gain, marking the longest wave of weekly gains since last November.
The rise in the pound sterling during the past days supported the central bank’s statements towards negative interest rates, as he indicated that banks need at least six months to switch to the negative interest level, which reduced expectations of lowering interest rates to less than zero in the coming months.
The royal currency has been a major winner against the ailing dollar this month, as the launch of the UK’s coronavirus vaccination program raised hopes that its economy will be able to recover more quickly than its European counterparts.
GBPUSD rose after UK GDP data releasing
Last week, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) published the latest estimates for fourth-quarter GDP numbers in the United Kingdom, and data showed that the British economy grew by 1.0% in the fourth quarter after recovering by 16.1% in the third quarter, and despite that, the economy was less than 7.8% than it was in the same period in 2019.
For the year 2020, the British economy contracted by 9.9%, which is the worst contraction in more than 300 years, and despite this, it was less than its theory in other countries due to its dependence on services.
The Office for National Statistics also published mixed figures for industrial and manufacturing production during the month of December. Industrial production increased by 0.2%, down from the previous month’s 0.3%, and manufacturing production increased by 0.3%.
More data showed that the construction sector also suffered in December, dropping 2.9% from the previous month and 3.7% year over year, mostly due to lockdown measures put in place by the government.
Analysts believe that this weakness continued in January due to the nationwide lockdown, so it may increase pressure on the Bank of England to push interest rates into negative territory.
プロのトレーダー兼アナリスト、2004 年から金融および外国為替市場のエコノミスト。エジプトのアメリカン大学で MBA を取得。モハメッドは、多くの国際外国為替および金融取引会社で経済ライターおよびテクニカルおよびファンダメンタルズアナリストとして、英語とアラビア語の両方で日々働いています。